Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.559924 0.619098 0.682938 0.757101 0.841104 0.933543 1.043299
2025-09-21 0.458677 0.538900 0.631991 0.748722 0.892190 1.064059 1.287486
2025-09-28 0.390314 0.476694 0.581753 0.720285 0.900161 1.128607 1.445200
2025-10-05 0.359407 0.453380 0.572281 0.735951 0.958846 1.256914 1.694494
2025-10-12 0.334045 0.433039 0.562567 0.747577 1.010229 1.377871 1.946355
2025-10-19 0.311168 0.412994 0.550167 0.752558 1.050701 1.485542 2.190671
2025-10-26 0.291577 0.395201 0.538487 0.756197 1.087932 1.590551 2.442824
2025-11-02 0.275894 0.381244 0.530478 0.763529 1.130144 1.706173 2.726083
2025-11-09 0.255535 0.358819 0.508098 0.746649 1.132194 1.757109 2.905853
2025-11-16 0.243887 0.348165 0.502047 0.753922 1.172719 1.874308 3.216995
2025-11-23 0.230238 0.333450 0.488560 0.747877 1.190072 1.953149 3.467986
2025-11-30 0.220359 0.323736 0.481935 0.752084 1.224645 2.065130 3.797833
2025-12-07 0.207672 0.309033 0.466697 0.741154 1.232548 2.131174 4.050035
2025-12-14 0.196723 0.296411 0.453957 0.733426 1.245428 2.208044 4.337678
2025-12-21 0.182795 0.278162 0.430797 0.705667 1.218644 2.205012 4.451468
2025-12-28 0.178213 0.274794 0.432015 0.720953 1.273887 2.370259 4.969489
2026-01-04 0.173231 0.270424 0.431171 0.732296 1.322437 2.527526 5.497855
2026-01-11 0.167486 0.264410 0.427058 0.737156 1.358439 2.662503 5.997300
2026-01-18 0.161929 0.258382 0.422494 0.740706 1.391958 2.795978 6.518741
2026-01-25 0.157306 0.253688 0.419957 0.747858 1.433517 2.952518 7.133164
2026-02-01 0.149453 0.242943 0.405901 0.731391 1.423167 2.987856 7.419691
2026-02-08 0.145517 0.238904 0.403802 0.738486 1.464589 3.150921 8.107135
2026-02-15 0.140016 0.231786 0.395597 0.732589 1.476539 3.243725 8.605713